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China Stronger Valuation Opportunities Than India – Invesco
Amanda Cheesley
2 September 2024
Despite concerns over China’s slowing economy and geopolitical tensions, Fiona Yang and Ian Hargreaves at Atlanta-headquartered investment manager is also optimistic about the country's outlook. She believes that Chinese equities are attractively valued. “The worst is now behind China, even if the property market might take longer than expected to recover significantly,” Sun told this news service. See more commentary here. Outlook for Asia Asian economies enjoy relatively solid fundamentals, with room to ease policy as we approach the start of a monetary easing cycle, with US dollar strength likely to cease being a headwind. Although concerns over the risk of US recession have been climbing, Asia’s growth prospects continue to compare favourably with consensus earnings' growth expectations of around 25 per cent for 2024 and 15 per cent for 2025. They believe that companies operating in Asian economies may see less earnings' vulnerability from a global slowdown relative to what is being implied in valuations, although India appears to be an exception given already elevated expectations. They said that investors need to consider many things when investing in Asia or emerging markets. While becoming hotbeds of consumption and innovation following decades of rapid industrialisation, investors must still be mindful of geopolitical risks and the global economic cycle. But with these economies enjoying stronger fundamentals, liquidity conditions set to improve, and governments across the wider region supporting industry with pro-growth reforms and supportive measures, Yang and Hargreaves believe that Asia and emerging markets have some of the most exciting investment opportunities in the world.
Overall, Asian equity index valuations are trading well below long-term historic averages, and at a significant discount to developed markets, particularly the US. Yang and Hargreaves believe that there is scope for this discount to narrow.