Alt Investments
Perils, Opportunities In Today's Hedge Fund Space
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This publication talks to London-based Sussex Partners, which focuses on the hedge fund sector, about the current scene in the alternative investments space.
As part of this publication’s series of articles examining alternative investments such as private equity, hedge funds, real estate and other areas, it is running a series of interviews with practitioners in the space. Here are comments from Patrick Ghali, managing partner at Sussex Partners, a firm based in London’s Mayfair district. It focuses on hedge funds and funds of hedge funds.
How useful do you consider it to think of “alternative
assets” as being at the less liquid end of the spectrum (with
venture capital and special situation hedge funds, private
equity, etc, at one end, and listed equities at the
other)?
We would argue that this is too simplistic. While we see a
bifurcation in investor interest, with some focusing exclusively
on daily liquidity strategies and others focusing solely on
multi-year lock-up strategies, at the extremes, to us
alternatives encompass both ends of the spectrum (and anything in
between), and both come with their own challenges and benefits.
The more liquid end tends to come with more volatility, and
sometimes reduced return potential (in return for said
liquidity), whereas as the longer lock-up strategies tend to
offer less volatility. Some investors equate this with more
certainty, and typically a pickup in return (illiquidity
premium). However, the longer lock-up strategies often mask
volatility and the assets would have to be marked to market in an
intervening period; they would likely exhibit significant
volatility, be subject to gap risk, and provide a false sense of
safety/security. This is why it makes sense for certain
strategies to only be accessed through longer lock-up vehicles in
order to be able to work through such periods without having to
sell at the most inopportune moments.
One also needs to pay special attention to making sure that
stated liquidity matches an underlying investment to avoid
liquidity mismatches and to make sure that a strategy is given
the appropriate length of time to perform. On a separate note, we
also think that the term “hedge fund” is somewhat of a misnomer
as in many cases strategies are long only and the only “reason”
they are classifies as “hedge funds” is because of their charging
mechanism (management and performance fee).
In the alternative asset class space that you track, what
are the main trends you see (in hedge funds, private equity, VC,
real estate, infrastructure, commodities, other)? For example:
increased/decreased wealth management interest in certain areas
(please give examples); use of specific types of vehicles (listed
alternatives, offshore structures), redemption/liquidity
requirements, etc?
Given the current environment, we see a marked pick up in the
interest from investors, be they institutional or private wealth
managers, in finding alternative and non or less correlated
sources of return. This is manifested both at the liquid end
(daily liquidity hedge funds with little equity exposure for
example) and at the longer duration end (lending strategies for
example). We saw this increase in interest starting 18 months ago
and continuing. The liquid space is mainly dominated by UCITS
funds in Europe as well as managed account platforms offered by
banks, whereas the less liquid space can be accessed either via
onshore of offshore funds.
A big challenge is for accurate reporting about the
valuations and performance of alternatives (calculating net asset
values, etc). How in your view is the wealth management industry
served today in getting such data? There are a few firms out
there developing technology, such as FundCount, Private Client
Resources, etc. Is there still work to do?
We tend to focus on the more liquid end (daily to quarterly
liquidity) and tend to avoid strategies that don’t have an
objective price (i.e. model based pricing or non-listed
investments are generally avoided) so this is less of an issue
for us. We also spend a lot of our operational due diligence on
assessing the robustness of a manager’s valuation methodology and
processes. For this reason reporting doesn’t tend to be a problem
for us.
There is a lot of money going into private capital
(private equity, debt, property, infrastructure) and we read
comments about the build-up of “dry powder” (uncommitted capital)
that is accumulating. Is that a cause for concern? Could yields
be squeezed? Has the chase after returns caused some
excesses?
We are quite concerned about this and feel that the yields in
many cases have been compressed to levels where you are now
getting “return free risk” and we tend to avoid such investment
opportunities as they make little economic sense. We are also
hearing comments from managers trading public markets that deals
that couldn’t get done in those public markets because they were
too expensive, were subsequently done in private markets at even
tighter spreads. Of course, this is very concerning and to us a
sign of excess that we want to avoid. We also think that there
has been a bevvy of new managers launching in those areas which
don’t always have the appropriate pedigree needed to be
successful for investors in the long term.
Hedge funds have had mixed results in recent years and
their traditional 2 and 20 (annual management fee, performance
fee) per cent fee models have become squeezed. Do you see further
fee compression?
This very much depends. Managers that are offering a “me-too
product” with middling returns have no choice but to compete on
price, and their value add is clearly questionable as is their
survival. Managers that either specialise in a niche, or have
very limited capacity (or both), or operate in a very expensive
and time intensive segment of the market and/or are able to
consistently provide very attractive risk adjusted net of fee
returns are still able to command a premium and will continue to
be able to do so in our opinion.
When accessing hedge funds, do you prefer to go directly
to a specific manager of a strategy or still prefer a
fund-of-funds/multi-manager approach where the manager/fund
selection role is outsourced?
This very much depends on the strategy, and the client mandate.
Some clients are not able to invest in single managers, and for
some strategies we want diversification and wouldn’t be
comfortable to only invest in one manager, and so prefer either a
fund of funds or a portfolio of funds in the same strategy. Not
all FoFs are the same, and there are many that provide excellent
returns in specific niches where the result is better net of fee
risk adjusted returns than for example provided by the equivalent
single manager index but with added diversification. In such an
instance, an FoF that can deliver this is clearly the better
option than a single manager as it allows us to diversify away
idiosyncratic manager risks. In other cases, we don’t see the
need for this diversification and prefer to have exposure to
single managers.
How much has the squeeze on yields for listed equities
and other conventional asset classes encouraged a shift to
alternatives?
This is certainly one of the drivers, as is the desire for less
corelated returns. This is especially a factor after so many
years of a bull market.
There is a sort of wealth management quest for the “Holy
Grail” of uncorrelated returns, encouraging interest in ideas
such as life settlement funds, liability finance, not to mention
traditional areas such as gold and diamonds. What is your take on
whether such uncorrelated returns are ever really
possible?
We think that you can create portfolios of lesser correlated
managers/strategies/assets that should be able to protect some
capital on the downside. However, this has to be caveated by the
fact that even those may not necessarily make money in certain
types of crisis but should protect capital better than
traditional portfolios of long only stocks and bonds. In many
cases, correlations of assets converge to 1 during a crisis and
it can be very hard to fully offset this. Some of the strategies
you mention above are not truly uncorrelated but rather have
hidden gap risk due to the fact that they are hiding behind their
illiquidity.
If you had to sell them in a real crisis, where there is no
market liquidity, it would be likely that you would not be able
to get a good bid on them either (as was certainly the case in
2008 when people who really needed liquidity had to accept very
steep discounts to liquidate these types of investments). The aim
should be to minimise drawdowns in such periods in order to then
be able to recover more quickly, and get back to compounding
positive returns over a long period of time. Large drawdowns, and
permanent loss of capital, are the biggest risks to wealth
preservation and wealth generation, and the aim should be to
minimise those risks.
Has the 2008 financial crisis and its aftermath radically
changed how you think of alternative assets, or just added to the
data that you take into account about these areas?
Anybody who has lived through 2008 will have been deeply affected
by this period and will have hopefully learned some valuable
lessons. Operational considerations are certainly even more
important today, as is the risk embedded in illiquid strategies
and the false sense of security they may provide. Many investors
had significant holdings of illiquid investments pre 2008 and had
to learn the hard way that they were not nearly as stable as
their pre-crisis track records lead many to believe once global
liquidity dried up. We can see many parallels between the current
chase for these illiquid investments and what happened pre 2008,
and so are very hesitant and sceptical when analysing these types
of investments. Avoiding liquidity mismatches has certainly
become an even bigger focus of our due diligence process, as have
valuation policies.
Are there other points you want to
make?
We strongly believe that hedge funds have a place in investors
portfolios and will continue to exist. We also expect there to be
more of a conversion between traditional and alternative managers
over time. Investors we speak to seem to spend more time today
than they did in the past in trying to understand what role they
want their hedge fund allocation to play not just on a
stand-alone basis, but in a portfolio context, and we think that
investors are also more realistic today in terms of their
expectations for these funds.
Further, we feel that investors have also understood that hedge fund investments require specific expertise and are no longer something you can do on the side but requires dedicated expertise and resources to do it properly.