Investment Strategies
This Is No Time To Pull Investments Off The Table, Argues Charles Schwab
The US firm gave a ringing endorsement of the case for staying invested in the current economic environment when it addressed a conference in Hong Kong.
Investors should not take their chips off the table despite
recent geopolitical jitters and the hike to US interest rates by
the Federal Reserve, according to Charles Schwab, the
US-headquartered brokerage and investment services giant.
"Although the fear of uncertainty reflects the potential threat
posed by policy risks to future growth, economic and profit
growth continue to improve in the near term and support
stocks. Adding on to that, low chance of recession, improving
growth, positive economic surprises, recovering earnings
estimates and a return of investor buying are strong reasons why
investors should stay invested," Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global
investment strategist at the firm, told a press conference in
Hong Kong yesterday.
Global growth and inflation have picked up; nominal gross
domestic product growth may exceed 5 per cent in 2017 for the
first time in six years, helping the sales of global companies to
grow for the first time since 2012. Kleintop said economic data
across the world continued to exceed economists'
estimates.
"In response to improving global economic data, analysts have
been raising their earnings per share expectations for global
companies. While still below prior peaks, earnings estimates have
been improving and helping to lift stocks. The return of
inflation in 2017 may help to lift sales for global companies,
bolstering business leaders' confidence and spending," he
said.
Investors may expect the “populist” revolts that shook elections
last year to continue, but that trend may not endure because
issues that have fuelled hostility to the European Union, for
example, have lost momentum, Kleintop said.
On the US front, economic data have improved alongside the
prospect of a business-friendly administration under Donald
Trump, helping to bolster both stock prices and Treasury yields.
Although bouts of volatility and market pullbacks should be
expected, improving earnings growth and stronger US equity fund
flows should keep the bull market alive in 2017, he said.
"We believe developed market international stocks may
underperform US stocks over the next six to 12 months due to
concerns about political risk in Europe and expectations of
relatively stronger US growth accompanied by a firm dollar," he
added.