WM Market Reports
UHNW Population Growth Accelerated In 2021 – Knight Frank
The number of ultra-wealthy people rose significantly in 2021 and the numbers are slated to keep rising, the firm said in its annual overview of wealth and the drivers of new money.
The world’s population of ultra-high net worth individuals –
those with $30 million or more – expanded by 9.3 per cent last
year, accelerating from a 2.4 per cent growth rate made during
the pandemic-hit year of 2020, real estate consultants Knight Frank said.
The figures, which come from Knight Frank’s annual wealth report,
also point to Asia being on track to overtake Europe as the
second-largest wealth management market behind North America.
This development, echoed in other global reports from groups
such as Capgemini, explains why so many Western banks have built
private banking and wealth businesses in Asia, even at a time of
US-China tensions on trade and other issues.
The firm’s Wealth Sizing Model, which it uses to make forecasts,
leads it to predict that between 2021 and 2026 the global UHNW
population will grow by a further 28 per cent. Over the ten years
to 2026 that represents a more than doubling in the number of
global UHNW individuals – from 348,355 to 783,671.
Knight Frank said that its Attitudes Survey, taken
from wealth advisors and private bankers, showed that 82 per
cent of them said that clients’ wealth had increased in 2021,
with more than half describing the rise as “significant” (defined
as more than 10 per cent). Over the past five years, the
previous optimism peak was in 2017 when 72 per cent of
respondents to the survey said that clients’ wealth had
increased. The world’s UHNW population grew by 10 per cent,
benefiting from broadly benign economic conditions.
Although economic conditions have changed as a result of the
pandemic, the only region to see a decline (-0.8 per cent) in its
UHNW population was Africa.
“Asset price rises, from property markets to stock markets to
luxury collectibles, have all helped to boost the fortunes of
those wealthy enough to hold investment portfolios,” the report
said.
The top five gainers for UHNW individuals, in absolute terms,
were the US, the UK, France, Japan and the Chinese mainland.
Equity markets drove some of the shifts: the French CAC 40 rose
by around 30 per cent during 2021, the US S&P 500 rose by
more than 25 per cent and the UK FTSE 250 rose by around 15 per
cent.
Knight Frank was understandably pleased that its survey showed
that, on average, just shy of two-thirds of UHNW wealth is
allocated to property. Just under a third of total wealth is held
in principal and second homes, while the remainder is invested
directly or indirectly (through real estate investment trusts
(REITs), for example) in investment property.
By 2026, Knight Frank reckons that Asia will surpass Europe as
the second largest regional wealth hub. During that time it
predicts, for example, that Singapore will have witnessed a 268
per cent growth in its UHNW population to around 6,000. However,
10-year growth is led by Australasia. The region’s UHNW
population, led by New Zealand (from 1,249 to 4,618), is expected
to more than treble by 2026, it said.
Among other details, Knight Frank said it estimated that
129,557 UHNW individuals were self-made and under the
age of 40; almost a fifth of the total population.
"North America, with 44,751, has the largest cohort, but
Asia’s marginally lower total of 44,565 accounts for a
higher proportion – 26 per cent – of the region’s
super-wealthy," it said.
The report said that Russia "boasts the highest relative number of next-gen wealth creators, with 45 per cent (2,923) of its UHNWIs falling into the category" – these figures were captured before the massive economic sanctions were imposed on Russia a few days ago for its invasion of Ukraine.